Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.514665 3.734615 3.969052 4.238892 4.542648 4.876102 5.272767
2024-10-27 3.138490 3.418419 3.730496 4.108166 4.558434 5.085597 5.761343
2024-11-03 2.991555 3.332677 3.729191 4.232917 4.869483 5.667905 6.782523
2024-11-10 2.893546 3.291176 3.771856 4.412153 5.270973 6.431551 8.221117
2024-11-17 2.704752 3.121919 3.640604 4.356259 5.361391 6.804775 9.233170
2024-11-24 2.527114 2.951881 3.492381 4.260613 5.383844 7.088814 10.212089
2024-12-01 2.385078 2.816545 3.377450 4.197409 5.444231 7.446777 11.471876
2024-12-08 2.267974 2.705316 3.285296 4.156102 5.532096 7.873537 13.086500
2024-12-15 2.202100 2.657345 3.275232 4.232975 5.819630 8.729125 16.220440
2024-12-22 2.071574 2.513389 3.119631 4.073784 5.691741 8.774861 17.387152
2024-12-29 2.009584 2.460153 3.089789 4.106799 5.902662 9.571484 21.620256
2025-01-05 1.942376 2.395476 3.038299 4.099602 6.040838 10.266949 26.678064
2025-01-12 1.843556 2.289252 2.930590 4.011766 6.058619 10.814979 33.322663
2025-01-19 1.743952 2.176752 2.806239 3.884550 5.981879 11.123375 40.490460
2025-01-26 1.706885 2.152883 2.815942 3.990310 6.411310 13.123409 81.489252
2025-02-02 1.681716 2.144855 2.849829 4.145357 7.002356 16.282344 537.939687
2025-02-09 1.616288 2.072547 2.775100 4.090192 7.093586 17.770740 NaN
2025-02-16 1.549774 1.995248 2.687145 4.000513 7.082515 18.887223 NaN
2025-02-23 1.493982 1.931735 2.618007 3.940726 7.140120 20.527939 NaN
2025-03-02 1.446029 1.878053 2.561907 3.901190 7.247536 22.752675 NaN
2025-03-09 1.419338 1.856119 2.557985 3.967789 7.682520 28.413762 NaN
2025-03-16 1.360659 1.781172 2.458392 3.823808 7.450711 28.323132 NaN
2025-03-23 1.332842 1.754027 2.440296 3.851978 7.770012 34.796953 NaN